Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.324624 0.432029 0.550143 0.687562 0.841159 1.005923 1.194489
2025-06-01 0.148540 0.275075 0.434986 0.640237 0.887450 1.168289 1.504946
2025-06-08 0.075514 0.198470 0.374964 0.618872 0.927455 1.290225 1.736425
2025-06-15 0.040468 0.158878 0.351419 0.634192 1.005303 1.452146 2.011270
2025-06-22 0.015963 0.119311 0.316743 0.626306 1.047498 1.566085 2.225082
2025-06-29 0.002969 0.084641 0.279543 0.607915 1.071106 1.653612 2.404415
2025-07-06 0.000400 0.074449 0.281010 0.643509 1.164637 1.827069 2.686898
2025-07-13 NaN 0.068229 0.288014 0.686436 1.267511 2.012032 2.983376
2025-07-20 NaN 0.061450 0.291933 0.723607 1.361983 2.186096 3.266445
2025-07-27 NaN 0.063090 0.313883 0.789415 1.496243 2.411209 3.612728
2025-08-03 NaN 0.058917 0.321663 0.832000 1.597982 2.594637 3.907672
2025-08-10 NaN 0.047059 0.308188 0.838446 1.648167 2.711199 4.119510
2025-08-17 NaN 0.025571 0.261192 0.787477 1.618879 2.729105 4.215318
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010433 0.216221 0.733835 1.582648 2.736537 4.297724
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003981 0.191090 0.711614 1.589426 2.798131 4.445753
2025-09-07 NaN 0.002068 0.186413 0.727886 1.653786 2.936615 4.691511
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000289 0.170454 0.719463 1.679331 3.022145 4.869236
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.150475 0.699656 1.685709 3.080732 5.011758
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.157143 0.737947 1.783563 3.264490 5.315687
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.167242 0.784028 1.893912 3.465565 5.642194
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.174538 0.823854 1.994423 3.653266 5.951617
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.195407 0.894211 2.143518 3.907815 6.347563
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.205129 0.939644 2.253153 4.108330 6.673913